Monday, December 14, 2009

Change Your Argument (Part 2)

Property is an emotional issue in Singapore. I mean when a group of guys in Singapore get together, inevitably something about property will worm its way into the talk. That’s how important property is in Singapore, and it’s so important in Singapore that Singaporeans are willing to put yourself in debt for the next 20 to 30 years just to buy a flat in Singapore.

However in recent times, even that might not be enough. Anyone who read this blog before knows that high property prices are a bugbear of the Singapore government and government ministers have been lining up talking up the “affordability” of homes in Singapore. In the previous months, it was National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan, then Senior Minister Goh Chok Tong, now the latest to step up to the plate is Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew.

Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew said that public flats will continue to appreciate in value as long as the Singapore economy continues to grow and if the country is doing well, property prices go up. However when the Singapore economy go down, unemployment will go up but incomes and property prices will decline. You know the Singapore government has a problem on its hand when even the Minister Mentor has to talk about the prices of property in public.

With a general election coming up, the government is doing all it can to talk up the “affordability” of homes in Singapore. It’s no surprise because public anger about the prices is widely expected to be a hot topic in the election. MM Lee probably has this in mind because he was speaking while launching The Pinnacle@Duxton, a 50 storey HDB development in Singapore.

Now let’s ignore the less than correct assessment that when the Singapore economy go down, property prices will decline (didn’t really happen in the recession) and focus on the more important aspect of what MM Lee said. That housing prices will continue to go up (because the economy will do well), but prices are affordable to Singaporeans.

As I said earlier, high property prices are a bugbear of the Singapore government and there is public anger about property prices in Singapore. Now MM Lee is considered a sage here in the region (and with his track record, he deserved it) but even he has a task on his hands if he want to convince Singaporeans that property prices are affordable. The Singapore government really needs to stop with this line of argument. Singaporeans are angry about the housing prices now, and you go say that housing prices will continue to go up, but prices will still be affordable?

I’m sorry but talk like that will just get Singaporeans even more pissed off than they are now. Right now, Singaporeans are already 20-30 years housing loan so what’s next? 30-40 years housing loans? And they still would be affordable? Seriously, does anyone know of anyone else who would willingly put themselves in debt for 20-30 years if they can help it?

The fact that Singaporeans are taking such long-term loans on their houses shows the “affordability” of homes in Singapore. Isn’t saying “housing prices will continue to go up, but it is still affordable” adding fuel to fire? It is and if the Singapore government continues with this line to defend the housing prices, then we will be in for interesting election next year.

7 comments:

sgcynic said...

I have a great suggestion for managing traffic congestion: half the number of COEs and double the loan term. Still affordable right? Now where's my million dollar salary!?

Anonymous said...

if housing loan only 10 years, many will quit their jobs or work part time - especially stressful jobs with low recognition and reward - no financial liability mah no pressure to work like a horse.

who is going to keep this city chugging along? further rely on foreigners?

pls.

up the number of loan years to 40 so our people can keep this city prosperous, beautiful,efficient,in the forefront of technological advancement,more new malls and casinos, green and clean i say!lol

Anonymous said...

And high salary for the elites.

Ghost said...

The term "Still affordable" is subjective and an argument the Singapore governemnt cannot win. Imagine them using it in the election? It's a sure-lose for them.

Anonymous said...

Hi, just would like to commet. Property is an interesting commodity and usually has an inelastic demand. There is not much choice for the common people. If there is a choice, people would not commit themselves to 20 to 30 years loan. As for the pricing of property in Singapore, it is already very contentious.

The government set up the public housing scheme with good intentions in the 60s. However, it has evolved into something else. Everybody needs a roof over their heads and also people want security. It is easy to say that if you cannot afford to buy one, you can always rent one. Property has unique characteristics as a good. Property factors are also driven by political, economical and social objectives. Thus, it would be difficult to discuss property as say compared to a car or an expensive item.

This is what I understand about property.

Anonymous said...

Hi, just would like to commet. Property is an interesting commodity and usually has an inelastic demand. There is not much choice for the common people. If there is a choice, people would not commit themselves to 20 to 30 years loan. As for the pricing of property in Singapore, it is already very contentious.

The government set up the public housing scheme with good intentions in the 60s. However, it has evolved into something else. Everybody needs a roof over their heads and also people want security. It is easy to say that if you cannot afford to buy one, you can always rent one. Property has unique characteristics as a good. Property factors are also driven by political, economical and social objectives. Thus, it would be difficult to discuss property as say compared to a car or an expensive item.

This is what I understand about property.

Ghost said...

To Anon 15/12 6.57pm;
Sorry but I don't think the pricing of property in Singapore is very contentious. It's high, very high. There's no argument there.